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  • The Not-So-Smart Smart Money

    It should be fairly evident by now that heavy redemptions at hedge funds over the past two months contributed significantly to the recent pounding in the one area where markets are liquid – stocks. Moreover, the deleveraging process continues to impact many hedgies as available capital (for leveraged...
  • Krugman and El-Erian in the Valley of FUD

    In his excellent book, “When Markets Collide”, PIMCO chief Mohammed El-Erian writes about the journey and the destination that the global economy and markets are undergoing and puts in context and helps clarifies much of the current economic and financial chaos. In it, Mr. El-Erian describes...
  • Just How Bad Are Corporate Profits?

    Today's earnings report from Hewlett-Packard raises the question posed in this blog postings' title. To help shed some light on the subject, consider the corporate results produced thus far re 3Q08. Compiled each week from data published in the Wall Street Journal (and produced for subscribers...
  • Beyond the Sound Bite: My Interview on NPR

    The folks over at National Public Radio noticed my blog posting of yesterday re the credit markets, Treasury yields, LIBOR, and the TED spread and did an interview with me on the topic, which you can listen to by clicking on the following link. To listen to the 20 minute interview, click here . Note...
  • VIX and the Premature Return to Complacency

    It could be argued that the recent rise in the medium and longer term US Treasury rates have something to do with concerns re inflation. It also could just as easily be argued that a major part of the rise is due to a lessening of the fear factor related to the credit crisis and an associated narrowing...
  • "We are in uncharted territory."

    excerpts from this week's report: Gary Crittenden Chief Financial Officer, Citigroup "For those who may be inclined to go along with the recent optimistic comments from the heads of several major investment banks (see last Thursday’s blog posting, “News Flash: Credit Crisis End in Sight”) and...
  • A Moment of Clarity

    “…it is now clear that the current turmoil is more than simply a liquidity event, reflecting the deep-seated balance sheet fragilities and weak capital bases, which means its effects are likely to be broader, deeper, and more protracted.” IMF Global Financial Stability Report April 2008 This has been...
  • Financials in a Larger Context

    To elaborate on my Tuesday BNN TV interview and to provide a technical analysis perspective as to why the Financials are a value trap for investors, here are a few thoughts. As stated in the interview, from a fundamental perspective any sector that is about to undergo regulatory change is by itself sufficient...
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